Price Time Volume Investing

The 10 year Treasury yield has dropped over 16% this week and over 8% today. It looks like a mad rush out of stocks and into bonds. Inflation is not a problem the market is concerned about at this time. Continue reading

The ten year bond yield is at levels from the early 1960s. Price essentially followed the slope down that it followed up from the sixties to the early 1980s. Continue reading

Both the long and short term 10 year bond markets show no sign that yields are setup to move higher from here. Continue reading

I’ve been reading the debates between the deflation camp and the inflation camp for several years now. They all have a great argument. I tend to ignore the argument and look at the charts. Obvious deflationary pressures since the mid-1980s are difficult to ignore. Continue reading

Prices are dropping rapidly showing no hints of future inflation. Continue reading

Yield curve doesn’t curve any more… Continue reading

Post contains a few charts I found interesting during last night’s analysis. Continue reading

Price changes of various economic groups over multiple time spans are discussed with respect to inflation and deflation. Continue reading

The CRB Index divided by the 20 year bond index (TLT) is a good gauge for current and future inflation. Some interesting range square relationships of price and time have development over the past several years. The low point was in 2003 which lines up well with the end of the bear market deflation that started in 2000. Continue reading

Discussion of the Ten Year Treasury yield with respect to price and time analysis. Currently, the yield (inverse price) is well below a 50% retrace with respect to the 1990-2003 move. Continue reading

I have a significant chunk of my retirement money in the PIMCO Total Return Fund (PTTRX). I moved into this fund in July/August of 2007 based on my cycle analysis in the spring of that year. Continue reading