Price Time Volume Investing

Timing Market Cycles using Methods of WD Gann, Elliott Wave, Geometry, Squares, Trend Lines

Price Time Volume Investing WD Gann Elliott Wave Charts of SP500 Angles

Money Flowing from Stocks to Bonds

November 20th, 2008 5 Comments

The 10 year Treasury yield has dropped over 16% this week and over 8% today. It looks like a mad rush out of stocks and into bonds. Inflation is not a problem the market is concerned about at this time. Continue reading

Tags:   · ·

Bonds Show No Interest in the Inflation Argument

November 19th, 2008 4 Comments

The ten year bond yield is at levels from the early 1960s. Price essentially followed the slope down that it followed up from the sixties to the early 1980s. Continue reading

Tags:   · ·

Ten Year Bond Shows No Sign of Higher Yields

October 22nd, 2008 3 Comments

Both the long and short term 10 year bond markets show no sign that yields are setup to move higher from here. Continue reading

Tags:   · ·

More On Deflation

October 9th, 2008 16 Comments

I’ve been reading the debates between the deflation camp and the inflation camp for several years now. They all have a great argument. I tend to ignore the argument and look at the charts. Obvious deflationary pressures since the mid-1980s are difficult to ignore. Continue reading

Tags:   ·

Prices Showing Serious Deflation

October 9th, 2008 4 Comments

Prices are dropping rapidly showing no hints of future inflation. Continue reading

Tags:   · ·

The Limit as “X” Approaches Infinity

September 17th, 2008 2 Comments

Yield curve doesn’t curve any more… Continue reading

Tags:   ·

Morning Market Thoughts

September 16th, 2008 5 Comments

Post contains a few charts I found interesting during last night’s analysis. Continue reading

Tags:   · · · · ·

Inflation or Deflation - Theory of Relativity

September 6th, 2008 2 Comments

Price changes of various economic groups over multiple time spans are discussed with respect to inflation and deflation. Continue reading

Tags:   · · ·

CRB over Twenty Year Bond as Inflation Gauge

August 11th, 2008 1 Comment

The CRB Index divided by the 20 year bond index (TLT) is a good gauge for current and future inflation. Some interesting range square relationships of price and time have development over the past several years. The low point was in 2003 which lines up well with the end of the bear market deflation that started in 2000. Continue reading

Tags:   · ·

Inflation or Deflation?

August 3rd, 2008 2 Comments

Discussion of the Ten Year Treasury yield with respect to price and time analysis. Currently, the yield (inverse price) is well below a 50% retrace with respect to the 1990-2003 move. Continue reading

Tags:   · ·

Bonds with PIMCO Total Return as Surrogate

May 31st, 2008 No Comments

I have a significant chunk of my retirement money in the PIMCO Total Return Fund (PTTRX). I moved into this fund in July/August of 2007 based on my cycle analysis in the spring of that year. Continue reading

Tags:   · ·