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Entries Tagged as 'Bonds'

Weekend Outlook – 13Dec09

December 14th, 2009 2 Comments

The US Dollar and Bond yields look setup to rally in the short term.

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Weekend Outlook – 06Dec09

December 7th, 2009 1 Comment

The ValueLine Arithmetic charts are surprisingly strong in the long term. The USD, bond yields, and banking index remain in strong downtrends.

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Weekend Outlook – 22Nov09

November 23rd, 2009 1 Comment

The ValueLine Arithmetic (VLE) swing chart shows a lower low and an attempt to make a new high.  I do not have a lot of confidence in the markets ability to take the VLE to a new high – but it is still possible. The 10 year US treasury bond continues down.  The recent bounce [...]

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Weekend Outlook – 10Oct09

October 10th, 2009 No Comments

Volume was weak during the bounce over the last five days.  I don’t see any buyers moving the market up as much as the lack of sellers are giving price no reason to drop.

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Treasury Bonds Swing Down on Charts

October 6th, 2009 4 Comments

The swing chart of the yield of the 30 Year Treasury bond has broken the recent swing low from September and looks to have completed the bounce up since 2008.

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30 Year Bond Swing Chart Turns Down

September 3rd, 2009 5 Comments

The swing chart of the 30 year T-Bond yield has turned down recently.  After a possible basing activity, price broke below the second swing low yesterday.  The third swing low is around 4.05% yield. 

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Ten Year Note Over Three Month T-Bill

August 31st, 2009 2 Comments

One measure of banking system instability has been the 10 year Treasury Note over the 3 month Treasury Bill. In 2008 the volatility began to increase.  During the big crisis the three month bill went to near zero which caused this chart to move toward infinity. 

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US Treasury Bond Update

August 26th, 2009 1 Comment

Treasury bond yields continue a long term trend lower after a bounce from the panic crash in 2007-2009.

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Ten Year Treasury Yield Testing June High

July 28th, 2009 No Comments

The 10 year treasury yield is testing the recent highs but should find strong resistance between the 4.10-4.25 yield range.

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Time Frames of the Ten Year Bond Yield

July 10th, 2009 No Comments

The ten year bond yield dropped from 1995 to 2008 and has bounced about 25% of that range in the last few months.  Yields continue to make lower highs which is bullish for bond prices.

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Bonds Break Yield Support Angles

July 9th, 2009 No Comments

Bonds made a big run in price yesterday and the angles I was watching were broken.  The 50% price/yield level is a significant level at this point.

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US Treasury’s Swing To Lower Angles

June 30th, 2009 No Comments

Today the 10 Year Treasury almost reached a significant fan angle.  Yield moved below 3.5% and very close to the 1×2 angle near 3.4% yield which should provide support but is not an absolute.

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Treasury Yields Moving Towards Support

June 26th, 2009 No Comments

The short term points to lower treasury yields over the next several weeks. The longer term chart points to higher yields over the next year, but this outlook could change based on how low yields go in the short term.

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30 Year Treasury Long Term Chart

June 18th, 2009 No Comments

The 30 year treasury bond continues to trend downward and shows no signs of inflation.

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Ten Year Treasury At Long Term Low

June 16th, 2009 No Comments

Bond prices have been weak lately. But perspective of the long term move shows there really is not anything to worry about as to the health of the US bond market.

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Treasury Bonds Sold, But Not Unexpectedly

May 27th, 2009 No Comments

The recent move in the 10 year treasury bond is impressive in the short term but not in the intermediate to long term.

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Ten Year Treasury Shows Long Term Deflation

May 19th, 2009 No Comments

Bond yields are at very long term lows and show no indications of future inflation.

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UST 10 Year About To Square Out

May 2nd, 2009 3 Comments

There has been much talk by the “gurus” about how interest rates are moving up and how it is a sign of … well… Armageddon, I suppose. 

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Ten Year Treasury and SPX Swing Levels

April 29th, 2009 No Comments

The yield of the ten year US Treasury bond has moved back to the 2003 low.  Based on this chart, yield could move up to around 4% without doing anything out of the ordinary. 

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Nasdaq Swing Charts Moving Toward Next Swing High

April 17th, 2009 No Comments

The Nasdaq 100 (NDX) continues higher as the duration of the swings decrease in time.  Volume was up on the Nasdaq but was lower on the SP500 and the Dow Jones Industrials. 

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