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Entries Tagged as 'Inflation-Deflation'

Daily Treasury Statements Show No Growth

September 26th, 2009 No Comments

I have been looking at the Daily Treasury Statement from the Financial Management Service of the US Treasury.  This data has always been available for free but it requires some programming skill to parse through the data and make sense of it.

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Gold Indicates Inflation While Other Commodities Point to Deflation

September 11th, 2009 2 Comments

The price of Gold continues to look strong which leads to the fundamental argument that the market expects inflation.  I really have not seen a chart that shows a correlation but a relationship may exist between gold and inflation. 

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Weekend Outlook – 30Aug09

August 30th, 2009 No Comments

The long term SP500 swing chart remains very weak and short term strength should come to an end as the 180 day cycle approaches.

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World Wide Price Deflation in Last 12 Months

August 7th, 2009 No Comments

The prices of the Dow Jones Industrials, Basic Materials, Consumer Products, Consumer Services, Energy, Health Care and Technology are down between 12-31% in the past twelve months.  Technology has held up the best.

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Global Deflation Charts

June 24th, 2009 4 Comments

Industry/sector charts across the world show significant year over year price deflation.

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30 Year Treasury Long Term Chart

June 18th, 2009 No Comments

The 30 year treasury bond continues to trend downward and shows no signs of inflation.

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Ten Year Treasury Shows Long Term Deflation

May 19th, 2009 No Comments

Bond yields are at very long term lows and show no indications of future inflation.

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Prices Stabilizing Over Past 12 Months

May 17th, 2009 No Comments

The deflation experienced by the world markets began to stabilize in October 2008.

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Global Inflation/Deflation Charts

April 21st, 2009 1 Comment

On a global scale, year over year prices have been decreasing for the major industries around the world.  The following charts look at the Industrial index, the Basic Materials Index, the Consumer Services Index, the Oil and Gas Index, the Health Care Index, and finally the Technology index.

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Natural Gas Knocking On My Door

April 13th, 2009 4 Comments

The price of natural gas is very weak. Other commodity prices have leveled out over the past six months.

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Watching Global Price Changes

March 9th, 2009 No Comments

Dis-inflation (or deflation) continues to show up in the charts.

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Weekend Outlook – 22Feb09

February 22nd, 2009 2 Comments

This weekend’s post is a look back to money flow through the system from from 2000 to today.

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World Deflation Comparison

January 16th, 2009 3 Comments

A comparison of world prices with the declines in the US and Europe.

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One Year Prices Still Showing Deflation

January 12th, 2009 No Comments

A look at price deflation over the past year.

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Was the 2002-2008 Move Really Inflation?

December 29th, 2008 7 Comments

I’ve been reading for years about the inflation that is coming. Because I use the US 10 Year Bond as a gauge for the amount of inflation in the system, I have tended to discount these arguments. But is it possible that the move in all prices from 2002-2008, was actually inflation and not really growth?

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SPX Working Off Overbought within Deflationary Market

December 11th, 2008 1 Comment

Today’s drop was not as strong as I expected from yesterday’s setup. Price continues to work off the overbought condition on a low volume consolidation.

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Money Flowing from Stocks to Bonds

November 20th, 2008 5 Comments

The 10 year Treasury yield has dropped over 16% this week and over 8% today. It looks like a mad rush out of stocks and into bonds. Inflation is not a problem the market is concerned about at this time.

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Bonds Show No Interest in Inflation Argument

November 19th, 2008 4 Comments

The ten year bond yield is at levels from the early 1960s. Price essentially followed the slope down that it followed up from the sixties to the early 1980s.

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Inflation-Deflation Update

November 17th, 2008 4 Comments

An update of some charts I have posted in the past that measure prices on some commodity indices. These measure some aspect of inflation, lack of inflation, or deflation. I do not see anything inflationary for at least six months

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Weekend Outlook – 26Oct08

October 26th, 2008 No Comments

The equity markets are reacting to the cycle turn of October 10. So far, no strength is evident to support significant buying.

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