Price Time Volume Investing

The SPX has a definite time cycle going on since the March low. Tomorrow is 242 days from that low (2/3 of 365 days). Other cycles shown that have ended or will end this week — 180, 120, 90, and 30 day cycles. With all these cycles hitting this week, a low is a real possibility. Continue reading

The first eight wave octet lasted 158 from the 2002 low. Next week is 158 weeks from the end of the first octet. A turn up here would be right on time. Continue reading

A comparison I have been looking at recently is the DOW crash of 1929 versus the Nasdaq Composite crash of 2000. There are a lot of similarities that are lost when comparing the DOW to the SP500. Continue reading

The price of Google, Inc (GOOG) looks to have completed a three wave retrace off the 2007 high. Continue reading

Just a quick note on cycle turns. Usually, price changes directions during a cycle turn. Occasionally, price will accelerate to the downside. It appears to me that the government has the opportunity to restore the system. But this is the same President, Congress, SEC, Fed, and Treasury who have made idiotic move after idiotic move in the past year. Please don’t get long just because it appears to be a cycle turn. Continue reading

A dynamic chart (updated weekly) of the waves and cycles in the SP500 (SPX) that I’ve been watching for a number of years. Continue reading

The Dow Jones Transportation Average (TRAN) drops over 8% today and 12% for the week. This is the first signal of the recession that the economist have promised us. Continue reading

Another AAPL update as it has come close enough to the 50/50 point of the 2006-2007 range for me. Continue reading

I don’t have any idea which way the market will eventually go this week. But at 180 days from the March low, the time is right for an acceleration or a change in trend. The 1:1 Gann angle will serve as a measurement point that we can use to gauge the market on Friday. Continue reading

Another alternative to the October low scenario is a waterfall low here between now and early next week. September 11 is a bad mojo day and a harmonic vibration off that date seven years after 2001 is a real possibility. If this does occur then October 10th will be even more important Continue reading

The time cycle from the May to July ranges and 180 days from the March low occur this week. Continue reading

Today I want to look at the various time frames of the VLE. First the long term range from 1990 to 2002. Notice how price never went parabolic as the Nasdaq did in 1998-2000. Therefore it did not really correct until the summer of 2002 when it had a nice shakeout down to the Continue reading

Discussion of why I believe the October low will be “the” low before a new five wave bull market. While the SP500 Index (SPX) e-wave charts do little to support this guess, the total market is in much better shape. Continue reading

The five year cycle of the SPX has provided some good trading points from 2002 and 2003. Another inflection point from August 2003 is upon us. Continue reading

I see Google (GOOG) reported earnings and didn’t do so well - down 40 bucks after hours. I have not been interested in GOOG previously because the chart was not in a strong position. The current move is corresponding with the shorter term time cycle. Continue reading

The SP500 Index (SPX) is 120-121 days from the March low. Continue reading

Price continues to make new lows on volume. I have noticed a few divergences to go along with the II and AAII surveys as positives. Continue reading

High volume outside day that finishes flat for the COMPQ. The same for the NDX but it finished up about half a percent. The SPX was the same and finished down 0.8 percent. Continue reading

This chart shows the NDX range from the take off in 1995 to the end of the bull market. Note how the correction into 2002 moved all the way down to the 1:16 slope. This is double the move of a normal market move. My assumption is that the move from 1995-2000 was actually twice the slope it should have been. Continue reading

The SPX is currently at the 1:1 ascending Gann angle of the range of the second 5 wave formation off the 2002 low. Continue reading