The charts of these major indices have not moved beyond the 2000-2002 bear market low. The SPX must contain more financial stocks that are heavily weighted as compared to the other indices. Continue reading
Dow, Nasdaq, VLE, and SPXEW Above 2002 Lows
November 21st, 2008 1 Comment
Tags: Dow Jones Industrial Average · Nasdaq Charts · Standard and Poor's 500 (S&P500)
Full Moon Bottom?
November 13th, 2008 2 Comments
The SPX had a large range outside day (LROD to Jeff Cooper followers) on volume. Price broke the October 10th low for a short period of time and then the volume buyers came in. From here we need one or more follow through days. We also need break the October 14th high and remain up there beyond the 12th day of the rally. Continue reading
Tags: Dow Jones Industrial Average · Nasdaq Charts · Standard and Poor's 500 (S&P500) · Volume
Distribution Day Below the 20 Day Moving Average
November 6th, 2008 11 Comments
Volume was up on a second down day on the major indices. But as bad as the press coverage of the last two days are, the actual chart looks in good shape. Tomorrow is day three and an afternoon reversal back up is a possibility. Continue reading
Tags: Distribution Day · Nasdaq Charts · Russell 2000 Smallcaps
Expected Correction on Lower Volume
November 5th, 2008 6 Comments
The SP500 Index (SPX) corrected after six days without a move below the low of the previous day. A move back toward the 20 day moving average is expected. Volume was lower today than yesterday and all days last week. CSCO warned after the bell putting pressure on the indices. Continue reading
Tags: A-B-C Correction · CSCO · Nasdaq Charts · Price Retrace · Standard and Poor's 500 (S&P500) · Volume
Nasdaq 100 Swing Chart Ready for Correction
November 5th, 2008 3 Comments
The Nasdaq 100 (NDX) has had seven days without a new low. It is rare for a move to go beyond 7 days without a correction of a day or two. Continue reading
Tags: Nasdaq Charts · Swing Charts
Lower Volume Consolidation Day
October 29th, 2008 1 Comment
Ignoring the late selling, today was a good consolidation day after yesterday’s move. Continue reading
Tags: Nasdaq Charts · Standard and Poor's 500 (S&P500)
Swing Charts Don’t Look Bad
October 28th, 2008 4 Comments
The SPX swing chart remains above the October 10th low which ended an 11 day drop. Continue reading
Tags: Advance-Decline · Nasdaq Charts · Standard and Poor's 500 (S&P500) · Swing Charts
Weekend Outlook - 26Oct08
October 26th, 2008 No Comments
The equity markets are reacting to the cycle turn of October 10. So far, no strength is evident to support significant buying. Continue reading
Tags: Dow Jones Industrial Average · Inflation-Deflation · Nasdaq Charts · NYSE · Roadmap
Bears Getting Tired of Winning?
October 24th, 2008 5 Comments
The big bad futures drop this morning turned out to be a big nothing on the SPX. Volume was down and the October 10th low held. The COMPQ test was a little deeper (and possibly better), but volume was relatively lower. Continue reading
Tags: Market Internals · Nasdaq Charts · Standard and Poor's 500 (S&P500)
Low Volume Inside Day
October 21st, 2008 4 Comments
Not much happened today with the indices. The SPX had an inside day with less volume than yesterday. The COMPQ had an inside day with slightly more volume than yesterday. The volume level was well below the 50 day moving average. Continue reading
Tags: Advance-Decline · Nasdaq Charts · Standard and Poor's 500 (S&P500) · Swing Charts
Up Day on Lowest Volume in October
October 20th, 2008 2 Comments
There was nothing to get excited about today. Growth stocks did well. Indices were all up. But volume was the lowest in a long time. Continue reading
Tags: Nasdaq Charts · Russell 2000 Smallcaps · Standard and Poor's 500 (S&P500)
Long Term Market Breadth
October 17th, 2008 No Comments
One set of charts I’ve been watching over the past several years uses cumulative advancing minus declining issues and volume. Continue reading
Tags: Market Internals · Nasdaq Charts · NYSE
Accumulation Day and Possibly a Follow Through
October 16th, 2008 9 Comments
This chart show definite accumulation today. Technically, today was also a follow through day with a 1.7% move on higher volume. But price remains well be low the high and I want to see price exceed this high on volume before I relax a little. Continue reading
Tags: Accumulation Day · Nasdaq Charts · Volume
Distribution Day on SPX and COMPQ
October 14th, 2008 5 Comments
Volume was higher than yesterday and price was down. This is the definition of a distribution day. Continue reading
Tags: Distribution Day · Nasdaq Charts · Standard and Poor's 500 (S&P500) · Volume
Gann Fans of the Bear Market Versus Today
October 7th, 2008 4 Comments
Reader Kurt asked about a comparison of the 2000-2002 bear market to the current market environment. I looked at this a few different ways and decided the best way to do it is to compare the 2000 bear market at 12 months to the current drop after one year. Continue reading
Tags: Dow Jones Industrial Average · Nasdaq Charts · Standard and Poor's 500 (S&P500)
Logical Crash End Points
September 30th, 2008 No Comments
The 1987-2000 range of the SPX shows the 50% end retrace line about 20% below today’s close at 883. This will be a retest of the 2002 lows. Continue reading
Tags: Nasdaq Charts · Standard and Poor's 500 (S&P500)
VLE Testing July Low
September 29th, 2008 No Comments
The VLE is testing the July low which could hold. But the odds are against it. Continue reading
Tags: Nasdaq Charts · Value Line Arithmetic Index (VLE)
Nasdaq Price Volatility
September 24th, 2008 No Comments
The price volatility as measured by the average true range (ATR) of the Nasdaq Composite index is at a long term high. This has always led to higher prices. Continue reading
Tags: Market Internals · Nasdaq Charts
Price Bounces off the 50 Day Moving Average
September 23rd, 2008 7 Comments
Ignoring all the extracurricular activity, price has bounced off the 50 day moving average as expected in the SPX and COMPQ. Volume is suspect, but lower on the pullback. Continue reading
Tags: Nasdaq Charts · Standard and Poor's 500 (S&P500)
Definitely Buyers Today
September 18th, 2008 2 Comments
There was definitely buyers of stocks today with a big range massive volume up day. Continue reading
Tags: Financials · Nasdaq Charts · Standard and Poor's 500 (S&P500) · Volume