The Dow Jones Industrial Average from 1929-1942 has provided a near perfect Roadmap of the Nasdaq since 2000 (as perfect as things get in the markets). Price bounced 63% from March to November 1938 just as it has bounced about 71% this year.
Entries Tagged as 'Roadmap'
Weekend Outlook – 05Jul09
July 5th, 2009 No Comments
A long term comparison of the Dow in 1929 to the Nasdaq in 2000 show the markets in sync. A continuation of the move beyond 60% would signal that long positions are becoming higher in risk.
Tags: DJIA-Dow Crash 1929-1942 · Market Outlook · Roadmap · Value Line Arithmetic Index (VLE)
Weekend Outlook – 14Jun09
June 14th, 2009 2 Comments
The Nasdaq Composite chart from 2000 appears to be the great grand child of the chart of the Dow Jones Industrials from 1929-1938.
Tags: DJIA-Dow Crash 1929-1942 · Market Outlook · Nasdaq Charts (IXIC) · Roadmap
Weekend Outlook – 07Jun09
June 7th, 2009 2 Comments
This week I compare the Gann fans of previous time frames to the current move in the SP500 index. The Gann Emblem shows time moved through the 90 day cycle and the market should be watched for weakness.
Tags: Gann Emblem · Market Outlook · Roadmap
Weekend Outlook – 17May09
May 18th, 2009 No Comments
The 218 calendar day cycle is hitting as price is forming a second inverse head and shoulders pattern. Base on base formations often lead to a strong bull move upwards in price.
Tags: Elliott Wave Analysis · Gann Emblem · Market Cycles · Market Outlook · Roadmap
Weekend Outlook – 03May09
May 3rd, 2009 2 Comments
Analysis of the square root price progression shows price has moved 720 degrees off the market low. This level often provides a top of some nature. In this case, a top to regroup and then move higher. The May cycle turn is near and price is not making a low as hoped for.
Tags: Elliott Wave Analysis · Market Cycles · Market Outlook · Roadmap · Square of 9
Price Near 650ish While Time Is Still Ticking
March 11th, 2009 No Comments
The SP500 Index Roadmap shows price in a position for a bounce back to the 800ish level before a test of the low in May.
Tags: Roadmap
Weekend Outlook – 08Mar09
March 8th, 2009 3 Comments
This week’s outlook compares the major indices of major regions of the globe.
Tags: Market Outlook · Roadmap
Updated Roadmap – Nasdaq 2000 Versus Dow 1929
March 4th, 2009 No Comments
This post revisits the comparison of the Nasdaq crash of 2000 to the DJIA crash of 1929.
Tags: DJIA-Dow Crash 1929-1942 · Nasdaq Charts (IXIC) · Roadmap
Weekend Outlook – 01Mar09
March 1st, 2009 9 Comments
This week’s outlook contains the long term SPX Ellliott Wave Roadmap and a project of what could happen on a May low.
SP500 Index Moving According To Roadmap
February 28th, 2009 No Comments
The SP500 price action is following my long term roadmap.
Tags: Roadmap
SP500 Index Roadmap at 90 Days From Cycle Turn
January 13th, 2009 4 Comments
A long at the long term SPX Roadmap.
Tags: Roadmap
Revisit Roadmap – Dow 1929 Versus Nasdaq 2000
January 2nd, 2009 1 Comment
Post is an update of the comparison of the 1929 crash of the Dow Jone Industrial Average to the 2000 crash of the Nasdaq.
Tags: DJIA-Dow Crash 1929-1942 · Nasdaq Charts (IXIC) · Roadmap
Weekend Outlook – 21Dec08
December 21st, 2008 No Comments
The Winter Solstice is upon us which means I head to Wal-Mart and spend a lot of money on junk the kids won’t want in a month.
I noticed that my screen for new IPOs in the last 30 days has 13 ETFs and no real stocks. No one wants to own a stock and everyone wants to trade.
I see two possible paths in price from here.
Tags: Market Outlook · Roadmap
May 2009 and the Sidereal Lunar Cycle
December 18th, 2008 No Comments
I previously mentioned in a post about Gann and the Sidereal Lunar cycle the relationship to the 218 day cycle. Briefly, the 218 day cycle has come up multiple times in my work and the translates into approximately eight Sidereal months.
Tags: Market Cycles · Roadmap
Weekend Outlook – 09Nov08
November 9th, 2008 6 Comments
The 218 day cycle and 27 day sidereal lunar cycle are discussed with respect to the SP500 index (SPX) roadmap.
Tags: How To Use Market Cycles · Market Outlook · Roadmap
Value Line Arithmetic Roadmap
October 30th, 2008 4 Comments
The first eight wave octet lasted 158 from the 2002 low. Next week is 158 weeks from the end of the first octet. A turn up here would be right on time.
Tags: Market Cycles · Roadmap · Value Line Arithmetic Index (VLE)
Weekend Outlook – 26Oct08
October 26th, 2008 No Comments
The equity markets are reacting to the cycle turn of October 10. So far, no strength is evident to support significant buying.
Tags: Commodity Charts · Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) · Inflation-Deflation · Market Outlook · Nasdaq Charts (IXIC) · New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) · Roadmap
New Roadmap – Dow 1929 versus Nasdaq 2000
October 25th, 2008 2 Comments
A comparison I have been looking at recently is the DOW crash of 1929 versus the Nasdaq Composite crash of 2000. There are a lot of similarities that are lost when comparing the DOW to the SP500.
Tags: DJIA-Dow Crash 1929-1942 · Market Cycles · Roadmap
Weekend Outlook – 12Oct08
October 12th, 2008 2 Comments
The cycle on my roadmap hit this week and I assume a low will be made within a few days next week. It is possible the low is in now, but a gap down on Monday will not worry me if price recovers quickly. A continuation of last week’s price action would invalidate my call on this cycle turn.
Tags: Market Outlook · Roadmap