Price Time Volume Investing

The cycle on my roadmap hit this week and I assume a low will be made within a few days next week. It is possible the low is in now, but a gap down on Monday will not worry me if price recovers quickly. A continuation of last week’s price action would invalidate my call on this cycle turn. Continue reading

The SP500 Index (SPX) is nearing the 50% price retrace level and 50% of the time cycle from 1982-2000. The 1×4 Gann angle or the 50% price retrace could provide support. Continue reading

Reader Kurt asked about a comparison of the 2000-2002 bear market to the current market environment. I looked at this a few different ways and decided the best way to do it is to compare the 2000 bear market at 12 months to the current drop after one year. Continue reading

Long term charts of the VLE and SPX show possible support to market. Continue reading

Price of the SP500 Index (SPX) touched the 1×4 Gann angle today and bounced. I am watching a retest of this level closely for a possible low. If price breaks through this angle then the 900ish level is one to watch. Continue reading

October 11th shows up in many cycles and can be watched for a turn. Continue reading

A dynamic chart (updated weekly) of the waves and cycles in the SP500 (SPX) that I’ve been watching for a number of years. Continue reading

Volume was lower today and price retraced 50% of yesterday’s move which is not bullish. The put/call and VIX is still up but I don’t think we have seen the low. Continue reading

The 1987-2000 range of the SPX shows the 50% end retrace line about 20% below today’s close at 883. This will be a retest of the 2002 lows. Continue reading

As an extension of my post this morning, here is where the SP500 Index (SPX) could end up in a crash in the 25-30% range. Continue reading

Ignoring all the extracurricular activity, price has bounced off the 50 day moving average as expected in the SPX and COMPQ. Volume is suspect, but lower on the pullback. Continue reading

There is not much to discuss this weekend. The financial system was saved by the US government. Paulson let it go all the way to the edge so he would be able to scare congress into acting. It is still unclear if congress is smart enough to do the right thing, but Paulson knows what he is doing. Continue reading

The SP500 Index ended this quiet week right where it started. Not much to say… Continue reading

There was definitely buyers of stocks today with a big range massive volume up day. Continue reading

Price hit a 50% retrace of the 2002 to 2007 bull market yesterday. Continue reading

Post contains a few charts I found interesting during last night’s analysis. Continue reading

I don’t have any idea which way the market will eventually go this week. But at 180 days from the March low, the time is right for an acceleration or a change in trend. The 1:1 Gann angle will serve as a measurement point that we can use to gauge the market on Friday. Continue reading